Sunday, October 14, 2007

If I Was A Betting Man....

I'd place my bet on Hillary Clinton becoming the next President.

I came to that conclusion this week after reading the reaction to two Tony Blankley columns. Blankley wrote columns on October 3rd and October 10th regarding the need for Republicans and Conservatives to be pragmatic rather than stand solely on principle regarding their choice for presidential nominee.

Lest you get the wrong idea, Blankley was not suggesting that the GOP abandon core principles in a cynical quest for power. He was pointing out that Republicans, having missed their chance to govern according to those principles, might want to temper principle with pragmatism in light of their worsening electoral prospects. Further he was focused on the presidential campaign and the specific pronouncement by "Christian Conservatives" that Rudy Giuliani was "unacceptable" to them. Blankley believes that Rudy is the one GOP presidential candidate who has an actual shot at beating Mrs. Clinton.

The reaction to his columns convinces me that Hillary will, in fact, be elected. The clear majority of respondents who expressed deep religious views (largely on the abortion issue) made it clear that they would either not vote or vote for a third party candidate, if Rudy was the nominee. Obviously, this was no representative sample of "values voters", but if only a one-third or more of them abandon the GOP if Rudy is the nominee, White House interns will once again have to look over their shoulders.

I must say that I cannot understand the logic. One comment asked of Blankley..."would you vote for a candidate with whom you agreed on everything except that he supported legalized rape and murder? Of course, not". My response to that would be that the answer would be "Of course, not", only if the other candidate (with whom I disagreed on every other issue) did not also support legalized rape and murder.

If Rudy faces Hillary, you have two pro-choice nominees. If you refuse to vote for Rudy on that basis, you still get a pro-choice President and that President will have many other views you will find noxious. Eight years of Hillary Clinton appointments of liberal judges to the Federal Judiciary will guarantee us an irreversible trip down the road to socialism and political correctness. Unfortunately, it appears that some Conservatives will hold out unless they get a nominee who is "pure". What the are going to get is the leaner, meaner version of the Hill and Bill show.

My gloom about my revelation of Hillary's certain ascendancy to the White House was ameliorated somewhat by this column by Charles Krauthammer. In it, Krauthammer explains why he and other conservatives might be able to live with President Hillary. He discusses Hillary's recent change of heart on NAFTA:

"The [Washington] Post editorial noted "a perverse kind of good news" in Hillary's free-trade revisionism: "There's little chance that her position reflects any deeply held principle." And there lies the beauty not just of Clinton on free trade but of the Clinton candidacy itself: She has no principles. Her liberalism is redeemed by her ambition; her ideology subordinate to her political needs.
I could never vote for her, but I (and others of my ideological ilk) could live with her -- precisely because she is so liberated from principle. Her liberalism, like her husband's -- flexible, disciplined, calculated, triangulated -- always leaves open the possibility that she would do the right thing for the blessedly wrong (i.e. self-interested, ambition-serving, politically expedient) reason."

Oh well, at least she didn't win the Nobel Prize!

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Repoman:

John Kennedy said,"Those who ride the back of the tiger, usually wind up inside." The Republican Party, starting after the Ford presidency, increasingly set itself upon the mantel of values. ( Remember the speech by Pat Buchannan at the convention in 1992? It was so over the top many believed it lent to the defeat of Bush #1.) Bush #2 learned the lession- only give the red meat of "values" to a select audience. For the rest- tone it down. Is that why the term compassionate conservative was coined? It was code to the crazy right- yet soft and appealing to the mushy middle. (by the way- the phrase was not a winner)
Core principles of the Republican Party are now to many people's minds: anti- rights of gay people; anti-a woman's right to choice over her own body: anti-single women raising their own kids after husband bailed, anti-citizens who are not religious , anti anyone who has had a divorce.( trampled on family values) In short the Republican Party was so successful proclaiming itslelf to be morally superior to the "evil" democrats, that it has now painted itslef into a proverbial corner. (It also doesn't help to note that a guy like Senator Craig was doing the painting.)To nominate a guy who has been divorced twice, favors gay civil unions, is pro-choice and not at all religious, would be tantamount to givng the Christian right a Jim Jones batch of cool-aid, with the same results to the party as to Jones'followers. To think that a party can make such an abrupt change in its positions and its 'personna" is the height of arrogance. ( But then if not arrogance, why doesn't Craig just go away) Republicans, if they want to stand to fight another day, must take 08 on the chin- nominate a moderate who will probably lose but who must serve to move the party away from the "holier that thou" place it is in many people's minds. To shock the body politic with a Rudy nomination will result in a great number of Christian conservatives staying home. To not wind up inside, it is necessary to slowly move away from the tiger.

repoman said...

Anonymus:

I will have to ruminate over your theory regarding "core" GOP values. I'm not sure I can accept your points. There is more to the GOP than the "values voter".

I do know one thing, though, if the GOP takes it on the chin (with regard to the White House) in 2008, the country will be in for some unpleasant changes.

The government will become the be-all and end-all, the first and only resort. Individualism and free expression will be out, collectivism and political correctness will be in.

Unknown said...

Oh for ^$^% sake John. Is this the best you can come up with? Political correctness will be the thing to fear. Before you speak in sound bites, how about telling us what you define as political correctness.

If political correctness means not referring to African Americans as the "N Word" then good. Or to quote your hero our current President, "bring it on."

You talk in broad sweeping generalizations and actually have the nerve to suggest that Hillary has no prinicpals? We have had nearly 7 years of an administration that doesn't know the meaning of the word.

A war started based on cherry-picked intelligence. The atrocities at Abu ...Gitmo? No bid contracts for friends of Bush and Dick...who then cannot account for billions of federal dollars. The leaking of CIA agent (oh and yes she was covert) Valerie Plame Wilson as poltical payback for her husband suggesting that there was no yellow cake uranium bought from Niger. Commuting Libby's sentence. Gonzales going to Ashcroft's hospital bed to have him renew domestic surveilence and then lying about it...under oath. Firing the US Attorneys to influence local elections. Lying about conducting surveilence of US citizens before 9/11 (without going to the FISA Court...and the hits keep on coming.

If the best you can do is point fingers and make comclusory statements, shame on you.

Wouldn't it be better if you spent your time trying to encourage your own party to get its values in order before resorting to dusty talking points left over from the 90's.

You sound like you got the same talking points those "pundits" from the Fox Noise Channel get.
You are way too smart and way to well-read to reguritate the the same swill as the shrill Sean Hannitty and the deluded triumpherant of Limbaugh, Beck and Bill.

You talk about Hillary changing her position on an issue like it is a bad thing. I wish this president would have done that on many of his positions. But instead, Bush's inability to admit mistakes or reverse course in light of new information or changes to the landscape has hurt our country immeasurably.

Look us in the eye and say George Bush is leaving this country better than when he found it. Go on, I dare you.

Love and kisses - Rubes.

repoman said...

Rubes!

So glad you finally found my blog.

I am so looking forward to the chance to engage in a battle of wits and opinion with someone whose wit is up to supporting her opinion!

As far as talking points go, please spare me. Lets see, cherry picked intel; abu; gitmo; why not Bush lied, poeple died? You've got them all covered.

I'll tell you this, though, the Dems in Congress have been trying to govern by talking points. Trust me, it doesn't work. Just ask the former GOP leadership.